en.Wedoany.com Reported - SKiLLS has launched an export price forecasting tool for Chilean salmon HON size 10-12 targeting the Brazilian market. Updated weekly with a forecast horizon of up to 35 weeks, the tool aims to provide producers, importers, and distributors with forward-looking price signals to support business decision-making.

Brazil is one of the main export destinations for Chilean salmon. In 2025, Brazil accounted for approximately 13% of Chile's total salmon export volume (WFE) and value. According to SKiLLS statistics, during the most recent analysis period, the Brazilian market imported approximately 145,000 metric tons WFE, valued at over USD 850 million. Among these imports, fresh Atlantic and HON size products hold the major demand share. SKiLLS has previously developed a similar forecasting tool for the Trim-D size 3-4 product in the U.S. market.

SKiLLS CEO Nicolás Contreras stated that price volatility in the Brazilian market can exceed 40% within a year, directly impacting negotiations, contracts, and business strategies. The tool integrates artificial intelligence, econometrics, and time series modeling, incorporating information such as historical international spot price data, Brazilian import statistics, Chilean harvest biomass, seasonal consumption patterns, and exchange rate variables. It is recalibrated and updated weekly.

Data sources incorporated into the tool include spot prices from Norway, China, and the United States, official Brazilian import statistics, and information from the Chilean production industry. SKiLLS states that the model is a hybrid model designed to provide a strategic support tool for the value chain, helping businesses gain forward-looking visibility in planning, profitability, and risk management.

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