en.Wedoany.com Reported - The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) recently released a report stating that, driven by increased wheat production, the UK's grain output for the 2026-27 crop year is expected to recover from the weather-affected 2024-25 season, with an overall improved outlook. The report notes that UK wheat production for 2026-27 is projected at 13.5 million metric tons, up from 12.3 million metric tons in the previous year, primarily due to expanded harvested area and higher yields, following a below-average harvest in 2025.
FAS indicates that the total planted area for UK grains is largely stable, but the crop mix continues to shift from barley, oats, and pulses towards wheat. The harvested wheat area for 2026-27 is projected to increase to approximately 1.7 million hectares, with the average yield recovering from 7.45 metric tons per hectare to around 7.94 metric tons per hectare. Most farmers had already purchased fertilizer by the end of 2025, avoiding subsequent price increases and logistical issues, but farm incomes still face challenges.
FAS specifically noted: "Overall, planting and early development suggest a more favorable yield outlook for the 2026-27 harvest than the previous two years, although the final outcome remains highly dependent on spring and early summer weather, and how farmers manage inputs amid persistent cost pressures." Large beginning stocks, high fertilizer costs, and ample global grain supplies are expected to limit price increases, thereby squeezing profit margins.
Feed and residual use is projected to increase slightly, but wheat feed use is expected to decline from 8.15 million metric tons to 8.10 million metric tons. Milling demand remains stable, and the proportion of domestic wheat used for milling could rise if quality and price are suitable. For barley, 2026-27 production is projected at 6.2 million metric tons, down from 6.5 million metric tons the previous year, with harvested area continuing to decrease to 1.05 million hectares. Barley consumption is projected at 5.94 million metric tons, with feed remaining dominant, while food, seed, and industrial use are weighed down by sluggish demand from the brewing and malting sectors.
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