en.Wedoany.com Reported - The Global Port Tracker report, jointly released by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates, shows that U.S. port container import volumes are expected to fall below 2025 levels after June, with the downward trend lasting from late summer into early autumn. Year-on-year increases are expected in May and June.
According to the report, throughput in May is projected at 2.17 million TEUs, an 11.1% increase over May 2025. June throughput is forecast at 2.13 million TEUs, up 8.2% year-on-year. Starting in July, the forecast turns to declines, with July imports expected to drop 7.8% to 2.2 million TEUs, August down 5.5% to 2.19 million TEUs, and September down 1.3% to 2.08 million TEUs. Officials from the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates stated that these figures would bring total container imports for the first half of 2026 to 12.59 million TEUs, a 0.5% increase over the same period in 2025, partly driven by growth in May and June.
Jonathan Gold, Vice President of Supply Chain and Customs Policy at the National Retail Federation, noted in a press release: "The data shows year-on-year increases for the next two months, but that is only because imports plummeted following the announcement of 'Liberation Day' tariffs in April 2025. Amid global economic uncertainty triggered by the Iran conflict, with rising inflation and declining consumer confidence, the overall downward trend in imports is expected to continue thereafter."
Ben Hackett, founder of Hackett Associates, said retailers are cautious about building inventory amid economic uncertainty. He noted that container imports fell year-on-year in the first quarter and that future demand is weakening.
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