en.Wedoany.com Reported - The Northwest Cherry Growers has released its 2026 crop forecast for the Pacific Northwest, projecting a yield between 19.5 million and 21.5 million boxes (20-pound equivalent), down approximately 7% from the record 23 million boxes in 2025. The forecast accounts for the impact of a warm winter and multiple spring frosts on crop development, introducing initial uncertainty, though growers have taken measures to address weather challenges. Growing degree day data indicates the widest gap between early and late districts since 2022, suggesting an early but evenly distributed crop maturity, with no significant supply compression concerns at this time.
The Northwest Cherry Growers' season estimate noted that frosts had raised concerns that the crop could drop as low as 17 million boxes, but the final forecast range is above that low point. The association stated that growers have overcome weather challenges through expert management, laying the groundwork for a positive outlook this season. This crop estimate remains tentative and may be updated in the coming weeks based on crop development.
Another key aspect of the 2026 season is the coordination between California and the Pacific Northwest. In 2025, high prices for California cherries overlapped with a bumper crop in Washington state, leading to slow absorption by retailers. This year, the Northwest Cherry Growers is collaborating more closely with the California industry to better allocate all West Coast fruit. California has also been affected by the warm winter, with its season starting about two weeks earlier than last year, accelerating harvest. Although some districts experienced compression and sporadic rainfall, the overall situation is described as positive. California is expected to maintain promotable volumes through the Memorial Day weekend, when the Northwest region will begin its harvest.
The 2026 Northwest cherry season presents a delicate balance: volumes are down from the record 2025 levels, but the season is earlier and cooperation between major growing regions has strengthened. The ability to coordinate harvest, promotions, and distribution will determine product value support and a smooth transition between California and the Pacific Northwest.
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