Wedoany.com Report-Apr. 9, Brazil’s corn planted area and production are projected to rise in the 2025-26 season, driven by favorable prices and export opportunities, according to the Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) of the US Department of Agriculture. The FAS estimates a harvest of 130 million tonnes from 22.5 million hectares, compared to 126 million tonnes from 22 million hectares in 2024-25. However, planting delays could affect yields, especially for the second crop, which accounts for 80% of total output.

The FAS noted: “In some regions of Brazil, the planting of the second crop was completed outside the ideal window, a period deemed optimal for sowing corn immediately after the soybean harvest.” This delay may expose crops to unfavorable weather, potentially reducing productivity. Some farmers might opt for alternatives like sorghum or winter grains instead of corn.

Domestic corn consumption is expected to reach 89.5 million tonnes in 2025-26, up by 2 million tonnes from the previous year, fueled by tight stocks and strong demand, which have lifted local prices. Exports, however, are forecast to hold steady at 44 million tonnes for both years. Brazil has solidified its position as a top global corn exporter, rivaling the United States. In 2024, the country saw record livestock slaughter, with corn as the main feed ingredient, alongside 24 ethanol plants using corn, including 18 dedicated facilities, per the National Petroleum Agency.

Wheat production for 2025-26 is projected at 9.1 million tonnes, the second-highest ever, thanks to increased investments boosting yields. Sowing is set to start in April across key regions. Consumption is estimated at 12.2 million tonnes, a slight 0.8% rise from 11.9 million tonnes in 2024-25, while imports are expected to drop from 6.5 million to 6 million tonnes due to ample stocks. Exports will remain at 2.6 million tonnes. The FAS explained: “As one of the primary commodities in the Brazilian basic food basket, the consumption pattern for wheat does not typically fluctuate, even with significant price changes.”

Rice production for 2024-25 is forecast at 8.08 million tonnes, up from 7.2 million tonnes, benefiting from good weather. For 2025-26, output is expected to stabilize at 8.1 million tonnes, with planting to begin around September. The FAS raised its 2024-25 planted area estimate to 1.7 million hectares, a 6.3% increase. Rising supply has eased domestic rice prices, a staple in 95% of Brazilian homes. Exports for 2025-26 are projected at 1.4 million tonnes, up 8% from 1.3 million tonnes, supported by competitive pricing globally.

The FAS highlighted: “Rice growers anticipate robust production this year, supporting exports and encouraging the upcoming 2025-26 harvest.” Strong harvests across corn, wheat, and rice reflect Brazil’s growing agricultural output, balancing domestic needs and international trade.