en.Wedoany.com Reported - While a strong El Niño may damage harvests in most parts of the world, climate experts believe this phenomenon is likely to boost Argentina's agricultural production in the second half of this year, particularly for major export crops such as soybeans, corn, and wheat.
The U.S. Climate Prediction Center released a forecast on Thursday indicating that El Niño conditions will intensify as the second half of 2026 progresses. The El Niño phenomenon causes warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, leading to reduced rainfall across much of Asia and Australia, raising concerns about a decline in global food supplies and drought-driven price increases. However, in Argentina, climate experts point out that this phenomenon increases the frequency and intensity of rainfall, which is generally beneficial for crop growth.
"The 2026/27 season will be fully influenced by El Niño, which will be a positive factor," said German Heinzenknecht, a meteorologist at the Argentine Applied Climatology Consultancy. According to official data, the last strong El Niño occurred during the 2015/16 cycle, when Argentina recorded its second-largest soybean harvest in history, reaching 59.1 million tons, and corn yields were 7% higher than the average of the previous decade.
"In the agricultural heartland, areas with good drainage that are not prone to flooding will see very high yields under El Niño," said climate expert Eduardo Sierra. Corn planting in Argentina will begin in September, and soybean planting in October. According to the Rosario Board of Trade, the country's producers have already begun sowing wheat for the 2026/27 season, with potential output reaching 20 million tons, which would be Argentina's third-largest grain harvest.
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